The House may vote to impeach the Current Occupant of the White House, on a largely party-line vote. The Senate will fail in its duty to conduct a meaningful trial, and the C.O. will retain his office. His behavior will become even more juvenile, vindictive, and criminal than it has been; comfortable in the impunity provided by the results in the Senate. Republicans will claim that the fact that none of them voted to impeach is proof that this is a partisan impeachment process – but the reality is simply that their party discipline makes them accessories-after-the-fact for Trump’s criminality. Enough people will buy the Republican line that many key battleground states may well go to Trump in the next election.
The other possibility is that enough Democrats ignore the clear evidence presented to them, and fear for their reelection—or recognize the futility of passing this on to the Senate, only for it to die there—and vote against impeachment, killing the process here. The Republican fable about the partisan nature of the accusations, and the acceleration of Trump’s misbehavior will be exactly the same as in the first scenario. In addition, the Democrats will face the perception that they are too weak and fragmented to uphold the law. This would likely be even more costly among voters in battleground states.
So, which is the correct action?
I feel that it is the duty of the House to pass these articles of impeachment, calling out the criminality of this man, despite the certainty that there will be no enforcement action by the Senate. We owe it to posterity that a meaningful response to these offenses be written into history – whatever the consequences. Failure to act in the face of obvious guilt encourages further offenses, lies to the future, and diminishes the role of congress as a co-equal branch of government
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